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Scenario Development Workshop #2 - April 2016


Scenario Development Workshop #2

The second workshop was held on April 11th and 12th 2016. This workshop was attended by twenty-five professionals from around the Caribbean. The aim of the workshop was to refine the scenario storyline using a participatory approach. More specifically, it was to formally engage key stakeholders to the scenarios and garner feedback on the narratives through an analysis of the critical uncertainties and their relationships throughout each scenario. The goal was to identify any internal inconsistencies within the scenarios themselves as well as the compatibility of the Caribbean context within they were being proposed. The participants were then invited to a general discussion about the drafted scenarios and their applicability to assist in addressing Caribbean challenge on day one. On day two participant contributions were explored under each scenario for example; new trends and their implications to the narratives and alternative response to events within the scenario. This process led to the inclusion of key trends in each scenario and potential policy implications and more importantly, two pathways were constructed based on Scenario 4.

The second scenario development workshop was scheduled to be January 2016; however this had to be postponed for several issues. Initially, a suitable date was difficult to establish due to many hectic and clashing schedules of key project members. Secondly, many GoLoCarSce project team members and TSC members were scheduled to attend the Water_aCCSIS (IDRC funded workshop) in February 2016 to also address a similar scenario’s objective. In order to avoid workshop fatigue, the date for the GoLoCarSce project was delayed. In this way, participants would have enough time to be rejuvenated and be fully prepared again to contribute to scenario development matters.

April 11th & 12th 2016, it was the chosen days of the workshop. Several team members from the scenarios team were flown into Trinidad several days before the commencement of the workshop in order to effectively prepare and structure the agenda and objectives of the workshop.

The aim of the workshop was to refine the scenario storylines by using a participatory approach. The workshop was used to formally engage key stakeholders to scenarios and garner feedback on the narratives through an analysis of the critical uncertainties and their relationships throughout each scenario. The goal was to identify any internal inconsistencies within the scenarios themselves as well as the compatibility of the Caribbean context within they were being proposed.

The stated aims of the workshop incorporated i) testing and refining scenario narrative, which were informed by the first scenario workshop; ii) Craft messages from the Caribbean for global audience iii) Share results from the cast studies and climate models and iv) Carry out a preliminary assessment of policy options.

The participants were then invited to a general discussion about the drafted scenarios and their applicability to assist in addressing Caribbean challenge on day one.

On day two participant contributions were explored under each scenario. This process led to the inclusion of key trends in each scenario and potential policy implications more importantly two pathways were constructed based on Scenario 4.

Please click here for the Project Scenario #2 Agenda